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Iran's Aggression Threatens Global Food Security

Hostilities in the Gulf are choking the supply of critical fertilizer, risking billions of meals and driving up costs for families worldwide.

Foreign PolicyPublished May 1, 2026 at 1:12 PM
A child with brown hair in a red and black chequered shirt sits at a table and eats a plate of peas and mushrooms

The reckless actions of the Iranian regime in the Gulf are now manifesting in a global food crisis. Svein Tore Holsether, CEO of the fertilizer giant Yara, warns that the blockade of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has halted the production of half a million tons of nitrogen fertilizer.

This disruption threatens the production of up to 10 billion meals every week, as farmers globally face a crippling shortage of essential agricultural inputs. Without nitrogen fertilizer, crop yields for some staples could plummet by as much as 50% in a single season.

While the impact will be felt most acutely in developing nations across Africa, Asia, and Latin America, the ripple effects are already reaching Western markets. Farmers are being squeezed by skyrocketing energy and input costs, and these expenses are inevitably being passed on to consumers.

With fertilizer prices already surging by 80% since the start of the conflict, experts warn that a bidding war for food may soon erupt, leaving the world's poorest to pay the highest price for the instability caused by Tehran's belligerence.

As food inflation looms, the reality is clear: the cost of confronting a hostile, terror-sponsoring regime is high, but the cost of inaction is a global humanitarian disaster.

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iranforeign-policyglobal-economyfood-securityagriculture

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